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My Head is Spinning
2008-10-13T19:51:30-07:00
I am on vacation this week, so blogging will be light. Just as well, as I have absolutely no idea where to begin with the Federal plan to semi-nationalize the banking industry. I fear that the Bush administration has done..

The Panic Imperative
2008-10-12T22:03:50-07:00
Eric Posner writes: Many legal academics claimed that courts should serve as fire walls against the conflagration of fear. When the government locks someone up, the courts should realize that in many cases either government officials have panicked or are..

Good News, Really
2008-10-12T08:27:23-07:00
Believe it or not, I think this picture is actually good news: This is a little flawed, since we would expect a constant trend to be a constant percent increase each year, which would be upward curving on this chart,..

Don't Panic
2008-10-10T09:42:12-07:00
The best way to mobilize people is to make them panic. That is why so many institutions have incentives to may you panic over the environment, or global warming, or the threat of terrorism, or the economy. In most cases..

Proof Positive Legislators Don't Understand Even the Basics of Economics
2008-10-10T08:49:13-07:00
OK, actually, this could also just be proof positive that legislators know exactly what they are doing and want legislation that panders to powerful interest groups without actually doing anything. Democrats in Congress have proposed a new nationwide CO2 emissions..

Why Politicians Favor Cap and Trade over a Carbon Tax
2008-10-08T19:45:26-07:00
There are a lot of incredibly good reasons to favor a carbon tax over cap-and-trade if we simply most reduce CO2 emissions. Even a minor inspection of the inner workings of the California Air Resources Board under their AB32 cap-and-trade..

It's a Feature, not a Bug
2008-10-08T18:45:42-07:00
Laws that require the goodwill and ethical functioning of its participants, without oversight, always worry me. The companion argument to this is when someone says (and this is popular among Democrats nowadays) all this infrastructure in the government that does..

Fake but Accurate -- Now Coming to the Hard Sciences
2008-10-07T11:19:40-07:00
Most of us remember the famous ""fake but accurate"" defense of Dan Rather"s story on GWB using forged National Guard documents. If the post-modernism movement were to have an insignia, their tag line (their ""E. Pluribus Unum") could well be..

Government and Regulation
2008-10-07T10:43:31-07:00
One argument about regulation that seems to be gaining traction through the recent financial crisis is ""See, private action and enterprise is not infallible. They can make mistakes that have costs for everyone. Therefore they need to be regulated."" I..

A Simple Alternative to Mark to Market Accounting?
2008-10-07T10:01:26-07:00
I haven"t posted at all on the brouhaha about mark-to-market accounting of derivatives and whether it was a contributor to the recent financial mess. If I had to summarize the issue, I would describe it thus: Investors want something more..

Obama and Ethanol
2008-10-07T09:19:36-07:00
I think a lot of economists are of two minds about Obama. When they look at his economics team, they are impressed with the talent and depth. America could do worse than have economic policy guided by this team. But..

Fed To Start Buying Commercial Paper
2008-10-07T08:36:01-07:00
Paul Kedrosky reports: The Federal Reserve Board on Tuesday announced the creation of the Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF), a facility that will complement the Federal Reserve"s existing credit facilities to help provide liquidity to term funding markets. The CPFF..

Grass Roots Efforts to Impose Socialism
2008-10-05T09:24:15-07:00
At first, I thought this was an interesting article in the battle of urban planners against suburban ""sprawl."" Here is the voice of the often silent majority, who like suburbs and don"t want a bunch of high-density mini-Manhattans : Jones..

Regulation and Civil Liberties
2008-10-05T08:59:51-07:00
One of the things I have always found frustrating and confusing is the number of folks who call themselves ""civil libertarians"" who simultaneously have not problem with economic and nanny-state hyper-regulation. In fact, ACLU types are often at the leading..

So Is The World Bailing Out of US Investments?
2008-10-04T08:17:07-07:00
No, at least not yet, with the dollar at a 13-month high

Hey, Lets Look at More Financial Sector Charts!
2008-10-04T08:02:01-07:00
OK, I know burn-out is setting in. I certainly think that explains, in part, why the House voted for a demonstrably worse bill than they voted against the week before. But John Moore has a number links to an interesting..

It Took Two Ingredients to Make this Financial Crisis
2008-10-03T11:20:23-07:00
After having time to think more about the current crisis, I think the reason it is confusing is that it is the result of two parallel but largely independent causes that worked together to create this mess. I told my..

Currency Hot Potato
2008-10-02T09:26:54-07:00
Apparently Zimbabwe had an inflation rate of 14,000% last month, for a total of 531 billion percent inflation this year. If we assume for simplicity that inflation occurs only during working hours, if we spread if over 22 days a..

Um, I Think It is Time To Introduce You to the Term "Incremental"
2008-10-02T09:07:33-07:00
The US Conference of Mayors has introduced a ""study"" extending on Obama"s idea of millions of new green jobs: A major shift to renewable energy and efficiency is expected to produce 4.2 million new environmentally friendly ""green"" jobs over the..

Provisions That Made the Bailout "Better"
2008-10-02T07:58:53-07:00
Here are some of the provisions in the bailout that converted ""no"" votes to ""yes."" Unbelievable. Andrew Leonard goes digging in the Senate"s bailout package and finds a bunch of ""sweeteners"" added to lure in votes. Among them: * Sec...

My New Favorites
2008-10-01T13:37:51-07:00
I went to see Santana with my son last Saturday night, and I can tell you that 67-year-old Carlos Santana is still the man on the guitar. 2-3/4 hours of straight guitar and percussion goodness. But my new guitar fav"s..

Small Business Credit
2008-10-01T11:11:56-07:00
Reader Tim Allen writes: I wanted you to consider that in a recent previous post you had mentioned that people are filling up their gas tanks before they previously would, and they are filling up all their other cars, and..

The Bailout is Back
2008-10-01T08:15:29-07:00
So what does it take to overcome the opposition of Congressmen who said they opposed the bailout bill as too expensive, too big of a giveaway, and too much of a moral hazard? Why, more moral hazard (in the form..

Everything Explained
2008-09-30T10:59:32-07:00
The comedians have pretty much nailed it, via Jeffrey Tucker

Lenders Have to Lend
2008-09-30T09:00:27-07:00
I know this may be pointing out the obvious, but I think it needs to be said: Lenders have to lend, just as much as borrowers have to borrow. I know most people understand the ""borrower"" part of this phrase,..

In Praise of Price Gouging
2008-09-30T08:40:32-07:00
As I have pointed out any number of times, when supplies of something are short, you can allocate them either by price or by rationing. Robert Rapier, via Michael Giberson made the point that combining shortages with tough state price-gouging..

The Alternate View
2008-09-30T08:18:49-07:00
Several people I know have argued with my ""do nothing"" approach to the current mortgage and liquidity mess. Their argument is that the current crisis has frozen the short term money market, with banks refusing to lend to each other,..

Two MILLION Visitors
2008-09-29T19:46:13-07:00
Thanks, folks. I still remember the first month I blogged about four years ago, when I wrote and wrote and was fairly sure not a single person was reading. Like performing to an empty room

Where is the Credit Crisis?
2008-09-29T15:20:41-07:00
Mark Perry observes that if we are in for a credit crunch, its not showing up in the numbers yet, as bank loans and leases hit an all-time high and most other types of lending are still near their peaks

Shadegg on the Bailout
2008-09-29T10:53:20-07:00
I missed this excellent interview with my local Congressman, John Shadegg, whom I don"t always agree with but is still way better than 99% of Congress: David Freddeso: Is a bailout necessary to save the economy at this point from..

Dale Franks on the Bailout
2008-09-29T10:34:54-07:00
I thought Dale Franks has a really good post on why the bailout is a crock. Its quite long, but here is one excerpt: Banks that made bad mortgage choices get a buttload of money for their bad MBS paper...

Exactly
2008-09-29T09:49:44-07:00
Sometimes I snap at someone for their criticism of a particular politician. Typically, they assume I am doing so because I support that politician. But in reality, I am using just sick of the implication that somehow other politicians would..

My Alternative to the Bailout
2008-09-29T09:36:19-07:00
This is taken from and expanded from the end of this post. Everyone involved in the bailout plan says, at least publicly, that they are not trying to bail out a bunch of Wall Street folks who lived high off..

Final Thoughts on the Bailout (I Still Don't Like It)
2008-09-29T09:07:50-07:00
I sat this weekend and pondered the pending financial bailout. A number of fairly smart people who know more about Wall Street than I seem to think it a necessary evil, and this includes several folks who are nearly as..

Why Phoenix Light Rail is Doomed in One Chart
2008-09-28T12:09:04-07:00
The Arizona Republic had another of its cheerleading articles on light rail this morning. In it was a chart that, contrary to the intent of the article, summarized exactly why Phoenix light rail is doomed. Below is a chart of..

So We Can't Have Even One Candidate Who Truly Understands Free Speech
2008-09-26T09:48:28-07:00
I stand by my no-McCain vow I made years ago after his role in campaign speech limitation. But Obama does not look like a very promising alternative: The Obama campaign disputes the accuracy of the advertisement, which is fine. It..

How Much Authority Are We Proposing to Give the Treasury?
2008-09-26T09:34:41-07:00
Much has been made of the bailout legislation provision that the administration would be immune to any scrutiny of any sort for any decision made vis a vis the $700 billion in bailout funds and the resulting spending decisions. But..

Critique of the Bailout, From A Banker
2008-09-26T08:34:59-07:00
From John Allison, CEO of BB&T (via TJIC). Here is a taste: Download bailout_critique.pdf

Couldn't The Taxpayer Make Money From the Bailout?
2008-09-25T16:46:04-07:00
So, apparently the US government is going to authorize up to $700 billion taxpayer dollars to purchase distressed financial assets. I had an email today that said, to paraphrase, couldn"t the government make money off these assets if they buy..

Can We Go Back to Ignoring Naomi Klein Now?
2008-09-25T16:10:18-07:00
In her wild and somewhat bizarre polemic aimed at Milton Friedman, Naomi Klein argues that major historic crises have always been manufactured by capitalists to slip free market principles into action against the wishes of the socialist-leaning masses. Really? In..

Michael Lewis on the Bailout
2008-09-25T14:30:45-07:00
I liked this bit in particular: Think of Wall Street as a poker game and Goldman as the smartest player. It"s sad when you think about it this way that so much of the dumb money on Wall Street has..

I Think I am Voting for Obama
2008-09-25T14:22:49-07:00
I am tired of watching the free markets trashed by people who claim to champion capitalism and free enterprise. Better, I am starting to think, to have free markets trashed by someone who does not pretend to support them. Besides,..

Think Again
2008-09-25T13:35:23-07:00
Been smugly thinking that you were smart enough not to take out an interest only mortgage to finance a house at the peak of the market? Or savvy enough not to invest your savings in a mortgage portfolio or some..

Climate Presentation
2008-09-25T10:27:27-07:00
One of the reason my posting has been light of late is that I was working on a climate presentation for the California Regional Council of Rural Counties. That"s behind me now, but you can read a brief report on..

Save Our Industry, The Economy Depends on It
2008-09-25T09:14:41-07:00
I have been on a Civil War reading binge lately, which began when I read ""Time on the Cross"", which is a really interesting economic analysis of American slavery. Since I have read a number of other Civil War and..

This Seems Kind of Obvious in Hindsight
2008-09-25T08:51:12-07:00
Saul Hansell at the NY Times has an interesting article about why risk assessment programs in investment banks were not sounding the alarm coming into the recent turmoil. The article contains this gem: Ms. Rahl said that it was now..

Best Take Yet on the Bailout
2008-09-25T08:31:35-07:00
Via Scrappleface: The foundation of the U.S. economy could crumble, President George Bush said today, if Congress fails to approve a U.S. Treasury plan to take over foundering financial firms, a proposal which the president called ""a much-needed 21st-century civil..

 


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